Spoofing the Limit Order Book: A Strategic Agent-Based Analysis

X Wang, C Hoang, Y Vorobeychik, and MP Wellman Games 2021 12(2) 46, May 2021. Abstract We present an agent-based model of manipulating prices in financial markets through spoofing: submitting spurious orders to mislead traders who learn from…

Log-time Prediction Markets for Interval Securities

M Dudík, X Wang, D Pennock, and D Rothschild 20th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS), May 2021 (forthcoming). Abstract We design a prediction market to recover a complete and fully general probability…

A Strategic Analysis of Portfolio Compression

K Mayo and MP Wellman 20th International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS), Extended Abstract, May 2021 (forthcoming). Abstract Portfolio compression, the netting of cycles in a financial network, is employed…

Evolution Strategies for Approximate Solution of Bayesian Games

Z Li and MP Wellman 35th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Feb 2021 (forthcoming). Abstract We address the problem of solving complex Bayesian games, characterized by high-dimensional type and action spaces, many (> 2) players,…

Iterative Empirical Game Solving via Single Policy Best Response

M Smith, T Anthony, and MP Wellman 9th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), Spotlight Presentation, May 2021 (forthcoming). Abstract Policy-Space Response Oracles (PSRO) is a general algorithmic framework for learning…